Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2381.033799 2574.674461 2769.649130 2980.375174 3201.385669 3426.024345 3671.306350
2025-07-20 2086.996998 2379.851512 2684.627808 3024.290765 3391.074011 3774.073100 4203.097566
2025-07-27 1877.473234 2229.854491 2605.831554 3034.373916 3506.861802 4009.587699 4582.602823
2025-08-03 1707.359664 2101.330151 2530.825959 3029.754559 3589.395953 4193.997262 4892.762886
2025-08-10 1580.410466 2008.156682 2483.449939 3044.763180 3683.698576 4382.861716 5200.266545
2025-08-17 1454.500123 1906.039282 2416.999918 3029.857235 3737.004625 4519.900844 5444.737660
2025-08-24 1368.338781 1843.735848 2390.530508 3055.362879 3831.568029 4699.558395 5733.964423
2025-08-31 1267.653198 1757.598413 2330.544651 3036.745153 3870.902682 4812.864586 5945.014154
2025-09-07 1213.787618 1724.606526 2330.423530 3085.711641 3986.475585 5011.822261 6252.725348
2025-09-14 1145.837819 1670.127662 2301.026862 3096.797180 4055.097519 5154.697845 6494.605736
2025-09-21 1077.146198 1610.936193 2262.675827 3094.232821 4105.161883 5274.159886 6708.024159
2025-09-28 982.871607 1514.202482 2173.802172 3026.345015 4073.773030 5295.351797 6804.521957
2025-10-05 968.710401 1522.110943 2216.670887 3121.993355 4241.851731 5555.045549 7184.825053
2025-10-12 932.934748 1499.581296 2219.727232 3167.389141 4348.595486 5742.174354 7480.496652
2025-10-19 884.795207 1457.918087 2196.239991 3177.783411 4411.158838 5875.630142 7712.088793
2025-10-26 833.776780 1409.762802 2162.225812 3173.021497 4453.566681 5983.825280 7912.933534
2025-11-02 794.349592 1375.736358 2145.122248 3188.493021 4520.092718 6120.539486 8147.647284
2025-11-09 745.582086 1326.136131 2105.407324 3173.127343 4546.673105 6207.721144 8322.143899
2025-11-16 715.478877 1301.863849 2098.480949 3199.419169 4625.065356 6357.882193 8572.734458
2025-11-23 670.817844 1254.172976 2058.026891 3180.227797 4644.561602 6434.830299 8733.909432
2025-11-30 653.199811 1245.718386 2070.672184 3230.700456 4752.663204 6621.103345 9028.544200
2025-12-07 623.331522 1217.371339 2054.662066 3242.125831 4810.042602 6744.186163 9245.880610
2025-12-14 590.531793 1182.975275 2028.943758 3239.482898 4848.486506 6843.208521 9433.475240